November Market Report

November Market Overview

Crude Oil
Crude oil prices have experienced a decline of 8.5%, largely driven by China’s economic slowdown, with a mixed outlook influenced by ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly surrounding Iran. The current support level stands at $66 USD, with resistance observed at $78.50 USD.

Natural Gas
Natural gas is approaching its support level around $2 USD. Market predictions indicate a potential surge in prices as demand is expected to outpace supply. A combination of reduced drilling activity, lower overall production, and capital withdrawal from the market is expected to drive prices higher, with SKILLSOOP forecasting a significant increase.

Gold
Gold is anticipated to continue its upward trajectory due to heightened risks associated with US Treasuries. Specifically, the short-term default risk and long-term inflation risk contribute to gold’s price rally. While gold is currently rising alongside a strengthening USD, a weakening dollar in the future could accelerate its price surge.

Silver
The gold-to-silver ratio is currently around 80:1, significantly above the historical average of 60:1 in recent years, and the long-term average of 20:1. Given these dynamics, silver is expected to touch $45 USD in the near term, with potential to exceed $100 USD in the future.

Copper
Copper prices are finding support at $4.28 USD, with resistance forming at $4.66 USD. Slightly improved economic conditions in China have bolstered overall sentiment, providing some stability to copper prices.

Iron Ore
Iron ore prices have risen, driven by stimulus measures from China. Deutsche Bank forecasts that prices could reach $130 USD in 2025. However, SKILLSOOP remains cautious, anticipating that long-term prices will remain subdued due to Brazil’s increased production capacity, which will apply further pressure on prices.

Aluminium
Aluminium prices are on the rise, influenced by an imbalance between supply and demand in the alumina market. A key driver of this imbalance is the supply chain issues associated with bauxite, particularly with China’s growing reliance on imports from Guinea, which faces challenges related to weather and labor strikes. Australia benefits from this dynamic, contributing 23% of China’s imports, particularly in light of the Indonesian export ban and Guinea’s supply disruptions. However, the cost of alumina, which constitutes 40% of smelter input costs, remains a critical challenge for aluminium producers.

Agricultural Commodities

  • Corn: Prices have weakened, primarily due to oversupply, with grain (wheat) and soybeans contributing to the market softness.
  • Cocoa: While the stronger dollar has provided some price relief, supply issues persist, further exacerbating market pressures.

Economic Indicators

  • Consumer Credit: Consumer credit continues to expand as households struggle to manage mortgage and rent payments, alongside discretionary spending. This is compounded by rising taxation and inflation, further depleting personal savings.
  • Private Sector Employment: The private sector is experiencing a contraction, highlighting broader economic weakness.
  • New Home Sales: Sales have decreased due to supply chain challenges, with Queensland particularly impacted. Mortgage stress is contributing to an increase in properties on the market.
  • Vehicle Sales: Vehicle sales are down, reflecting increased bankruptcy rates within the private sector.
  • Retail Sales: Retail sales have increased by 3.1% in August, reaching $36,376.4 million. However, this increase is likely driven by rising prices rather than higher consumption levels.
  • Manufacturing PMI: The PMI continues to show signs of weakness in the private sector, indicating ongoing economic contraction.

Trade and Government Metrics

  • Imports: Trade imports have declined, driven by contractions in consumer goods demand (down 4.2%) and vehicle parts (down 7.5%).
  • Exports: Trade exports have contracted, with meat exports, grains, minerals, and metals showing negative growth.
  • Government Debt: Australian government debt has increased in August 2024, with the current account balance falling by $4.4 billion to a deficit of $10.7 billion in Q2, primarily due to lower commodity prices and increased income flows to non-residents.

Bond and Interest Rate Markets

  • 10-Year Bond: Capital is increasingly shifting from debt markets to haven assets such as silver and gold, as market sentiment remains cautious.
  • Inflation Rate: The most recent inflation figures are not yet updated, but inflation remains understated relative to the actual economic conditions. The latest recorded inflation rates were as follows:
    • October: 4.37%
    • August: 3.8%
    • July: 3.35% (down 0.45%)

Banking and Government Policy

  • Deposit Rates: Deposit rates have declined in tandem with the cash rate, which remains at 4.35%, increasing bank margins but disadvantaging savers.
  • Government Spending: Government spending has risen in Q2, as have revenue levels in August, with increased debt accumulation seen across the public sector.

Special Report Procurement Misconceptions

Procurement Insights: Bridging Theory and Operational Reality

With extensive experience across multiple industries and having interviewed over 2,000 candidates, I have gained invaluable insights into the successes and challenges businesses face when developing procurement capabilities. The reality is that the procurement function has seen more failures than successes, with a significant amount of rhetoric, jargon, and a persistent disconnect between theoretical frameworks and operational execution.

One of procurement’s most significant limitations is its ability to gain traction and buy-in from key stakeholders. Often, procurement is perceived as a non-exclusive function, with many stakeholders failing to recognize its strategic value.

This perception is not entirely unfounded. Procurement, at its core, is something we all engage with, even at a young age. The basic principles of sourcing and purchasing are learned early on, often when we head to the store with pocket money. As consumers, we interact with platforms like Amazon, making us aware of what a good purchasing experience can look like, especially in the realm of e-commerce. The concept of procurement, however, transcends basic consumer behaviour and requires a more structured, strategic approach in the business environment.

Looking back, the fundamentals of procurement were evident in everyday family life. Growing up in a working-class family, my parents had to meticulously plan and manage household finances to ensure we didn’t go without. Key life events such as family holidays, birthdays, and other cash-intensive moments had to be balanced with ongoing expenses like groceries, utilities, and other essential needs. If we break down the categories of spending, we can see how procurement principles applied in a practical setting:

  • A car purchase could be categorized as capital expenditure (CapEx),
  • Grocery shopping as consumables,
  • Utility bills for electricity and water as operating expenses (OpEx),
  • Home renovations and extensions as project sourcing.

These experiences provided an early foundation in understanding the intricacies of procurement, illustrating how essential this function is in both personal and professional settings.

Procurement: A Strategic Imperative for Success

In the context of household management, procurement decisions were made with careful attention to value and efficiency. For example, when it came to weekly shopping, the list was strategically organized. While cheaper white-label products were available, they were often discarded because they did not deliver the expected value, turning what seemed like a cost-saving measure into an actual loss. Instead, purchasing smaller volumes and opting for preferred brands ensured greater overall value. Similarly, by aggregating services like the phone and TV networks, costs were reduced—effectively applying the principles of supplier aggregation.

This concept of procurement was evident in everyday life. When my mother went to the supermarket, selecting products and passing them through the checkout, she was engaged in a purchasing decision. When new recruits join Jigsaw, I often use such examples to simplify the procurement process and ensure it is clearly understood.

In contrast to other business functions like accounting, marketing, R&D, and engineering, which require specialized expertise, procurement often faces a unique challenge in gaining credibility. To be credible, procurement must be exceptional, and to achieve that level of excellence, it must balance speed of execution with deep knowledge of the portfolio. This is complemented by expertise in market dynamics, finance, and negotiation.

Since these functions must be executed at scale, enablement is critical. This involves the integration of technology, systems, and processes to support procurement initiatives. However, the order of investment is key, as many organizations fail to succeed when they attempt to build on weak foundational elements. With that in mind, let’s explore what often goes wrong in the procurement process.

Does Procurement Perform During a Recession?

One of the most frequently asked questions I encounter is whether procurement can deliver value during a recession. With revenues down, the business may push for a 15% reduction in the supply base. However, when examining the dynamics of a recession, it becomes clear that this approach is not always effective.

In a recession, consumer spending typically contracts, which results in a decrease in revenues. Consequently, the cost of goods sold (COGS) naturally contracts as supply and demand become misaligned initially, while operating expenses (OPEX) also decrease as businesses scale back on discretionary spending such as marketing, recruitment, travel, and other operational costs.

The idea that procurement can drive savings while simultaneously reducing the number of orders and shrinking supplier revenue is highly unlikely. If a supplier agrees to such terms, it’s often a sign of instability, and they may not be able to sustain the relationship in the long term. While some businesses may consider reducing supply risk by consolidating with a sole supplier, this strategy introduces significant risk. In a recession, the potential for supplier insolvency or inability to manage increased capacity is heightened, making this a perilous approach.

Procurement Maturity Curve

For businesses that have invested in procurement over the past 15-20 years and undergone multiple transformations, the opportunities for cost cutting through traditional sourcing (i.e., price reductions) are often exhausted. What is typically lacking are key elements such as robust data analytics, supplier relationship management (SRM), technology adoption, and effective contract management—each of which carries a substantial cost base.

As revenue shrinks, it is unlikely that a business will approve significant investments in procurement enablement—such as technology, systems, and additional headcount—if no further cost reductions can be achieved in terms of supply chain costs. In many cases, businesses respond by reducing headcount and decentralizing procurement, shifting accountability back to business units. Pricing expectations may remain stable due to years of standard contract renewals, allowing departments like marketing to maintain cost levels for a limited period, while procurement resources are cut.

In many organizations, this scenario is unfolding right now, as businesses struggle to balance cost-cutting measures with the need for procurement efficiency.

Small Businesses and Procurement in a Shrinking Market

For smaller businesses that have not invested in procurement infrastructure, there is potential to achieve savings during a recession. These organizations are often at a scale where they may not have the capital to invest in comprehensive, end-to-end procurement frameworks that incorporate technology and personnel. In such cases, a procurement resource might be hired on a reactive basis, tasked with generating savings without the benefit of structured data or clear purchase order records.

This situation often leads to procurement operating in an environment where decisions are made based on instinct and stakeholder input, rather than informed data. The result is reminiscent of procurement practices from the 1980s, where deals were negotiated and contracts signed, but there were insufficient resources to execute on the value promised. In these cases, the procurement process becomes a psychological exercise rather than a value-generating function.

Procurement’s Value in a Growing Business vs. Shrinking Business

Procurement typically adds the most value when a business is experiencing growth. In such environments, procurement has significant leverage in negotiations, as suppliers are eager to expand their revenue. The skill lies in slowing down suppliers’ profit growth on a per-unit basis while increasing the volume of sales. As a business grows its OPEX, CAPEX, and COGS, procurement can play a pivotal role in driving efficiencies between sales and costs.

However, in a shrinking market, the dynamics shift. To maintain profitability, businesses must focus on increasing margins per unit, driven by the fundamental supply and demand principles. While procurement can still add value in this context, it requires a different approach.

Innovation as a Key Lever

For organizations that have made substantial investments in procurement, innovation becomes the key driver during a recession. By leveraging innovation, procurement can help navigate the challenges posed by shrinking revenues and maximize value for the business. However, this is a strategy that remains underutilized and is relatively rare in practice

Does a Dollar Saved Hold More Value Than a Dollar Sold?

The question of whether a dollar saved is more valuable than a dollar earned through sales is a pertinent one. To illustrate this concept, consider the following example: If a company sells a unit for $1, after accounting for costs such as COGS, OPEX, CAPEX, and taxes, the net contribution to the bottom line is only $0.10. This means that 90% of the revenue generated from the sale is consumed by operational expenses.

Conversely, if the same dollar is saved through procurement by negotiating a 10% reduction in the price of goods, the value of the dollar saved is fully realized, contributing $1 directly to the bottom line, with no tax implications. This approach clearly presents a more attractive financial proposition. So, where is the procurement team to make this happen?

The Strategic Business Sense of Procurement

This scenario makes intuitive business sense: by focusing on procurement savings, the company can increase its EBIT and operational cash flow. The savings achieved on the cost base can have a direct impact on profitability, with 100% of the savings realized rather than being eroded by taxes and operational costs. However, achieving these savings requires investment, both in procurement and in complementary services such as professional consulting, technology, and performance-based incentives.

As such, the calculation of savings becomes more nuanced. On one hand, the net savings achieved through procurement may be eroded by the associated costs of securing those savings, such as the investment in procurement resources and external services. On the other hand, these savings are still advantageous, even if the full value is not fully realized in a direct, unencumbered form.

The Impact of Cost Management on Business Performance

While savings and cost management are clearly beneficial, it’s important to recognize that aggressive cost-cutting can have unintended consequences. Often, as businesses focus on reducing costs, customer satisfaction may suffer, resulting in reduced service quality or product offerings. This can further impact top-line revenue, as customers may respond negatively to inferior products or services.

From a revenue perspective, a business’s net margin per unit sold is sustainable over time and can be adjusted for inflation. However, savings on the cost base are finite, and the ability to continue cutting costs diminishes over time, especially if revenues stagnate. This is particularly true when the business reaches a point where cost savings become increasingly difficult to achieve without impacting the quality of the product or service.

Procurement, in mature operations, often delivers value primarily through supporting growth. As a result, businesses may find that procurement’s ability to drive cost savings becomes less effective as growth slows or revenues decline. Eventually, the business may reach a breakeven point in terms of cost-to-sales (CTS), at which point procurement leverage will no longer yield the desired results. If procurement continues to push for savings at this stage, the risk of supplier insolvency or operational instability may increase.

The Diminishing Returns of Procurement in a Recession

In a recession, procurement can become an even less effective lever. Consider the scenario where, as CFO, the contribution margin per unit drops from $0.10 to $0.08 due to increased costs in procurement, recruitment, and professional services. As procurement’s role expands, OPEX increases, which results in further pressure on the profit margin.

At this point, procurement’s role in reducing costs may no longer be enough to sustain profitability. To offset the reduced volume of sales, the business may be forced to increase prices or reduce the complexity of shared services, including procurement, in order to maintain a sufficient return on capital employed (ROCE). In such cases, procurement becomes part of the broader operational restructuring, with the focus shifting back to core business operations and the allocation of capital to areas that drive direct value.

Ultimately, procurement can provide value in both growth and recessionary periods, but its effectiveness depends on the broader context of the business. In times of economic downturn, businesses must focus on improving core operational efficiencies and adjusting their cost structures in a way that maintains sustainable growth and profitability

Why Procurement Transformations Often Fail

In my experience, the number of failed procurement transformations far outweighs the successful ones. As someone who has witnessed numerous attempts at transforming procurement functions, I feel suitably qualified to highlight some of the primary reasons behind this high rate of failure.

As outlined earlier, procurement is a skill set that integrates seamlessly into all aspects of our lives. At a superficial level, it is not a specialized corporate skill set in the same way that HR or sales might be. This naturally raises the question: what distinguishes professional procurement from everyday purchasing practices?

The Key Differences Between Household Budgeting and Professional Procurement

The distinction between a procurement manager and a household budget controller is significant. One of the most notable differences is leverage. In a professional setting, having access to substantial spend or the backing of a major brand allows procurement managers to act as price makers rather than price takers. In contrast, an individual buyer, like a consumer managing a household budget, is limited to sourcing the best available option in the market without the same ability to influence prices.

Scale also plays a critical role. A professional buyer is tasked with managing large, complex categories, often serving multiple internal customers. This requires breaking down spend into segments (not just category management) and employing tailored strategies for each segment. Furthermore, contracts in a professional procurement context are more complex. Unlike an amateur buyer who receives standard invoices without much involvement in contract negotiations, a professional buyer plays a key role in shaping terms, conditions, and the overall contract lifecycle.

Lastly, data and processes are fundamental to professional procurement. Thousands of transactions need to be accurately processed and recorded, ensuring that spending patterns and insights can be captured and analyzed to drive better outcomes.

While we all engage in some form of procurement in our daily lives—whether sourcing products for a renovation or managing a personal budget—most of us lack the specialized expertise required in procurement, such as legal, financial, and negotiation skills. True professional category management demands a combination of all these competencies, and it is the absence of these skills that often contributes to procurement transformation failures.

The Core Reason for Procurement Transformation Failures: Unrealistic Expectations and Misguided Phases

The primary reason procurement transformations fail lies in the approach businesses take to development and the expectations they set. Many organizations assume they can transition from a transactional purchasing environment to advanced category management in just 3–5 years, which is nearly impossible for large businesses.

Instead of following a structured, phased development process, organizations often rush headlong into adopting “best practice” category management frameworks. This term, which is frequently used as a buzzword, is nothing more than a marketing label designed to sell turnkey services at scale. In the worst cases, businesses fail to invest in necessary tools like data management systems and SRM platforms, choosing to hire category managers—often in title only—and appoint policy and governance professionals to enforce rules. This approach is akin to constructing a house by starting with the roof.

The Role of Leadership and Realistic Investment in Procurement

While it is not entirely the procurement lead’s fault, the pressure from CFOs and Boards for immediate ROI is a major contributing factor. If a company is investing millions into procurement to realize an immediate, tangible return on investment, the pressure for results becomes overwhelming. This compressed timeline benefits transformation firms, who are often paid based on projected savings, leading to a focus on short-term results rather than long-term value creation.

To ensure long-term success, businesses must be prepared to delay gratification. Phase 1 of any procurement transformation should focus on enablement, not immediately diving into category management and sourcing. The procurement model must first be tailored to fit the organizational structure, followed by the adoption of the appropriate technology, systems, and processes.

Key considerations at this phase include determining whether the organization operates with a single or multiple P&Ls, whether decision-making is fragmented across the business, and how technology and systems can effectively support all stakeholders. These foundational steps take time, and businesses must first adopt new methods of transaction management before making any changes to procurement behavior.

The Importance of Data, Technology, and System Integration

During this initial phase, the primary goal should be to integrate procurement with finance, ensuring accurate spend tracking through the proper systems and processes. At this stage, procurement is still reactive to the business’s needs, but it can provide valuable data and insights, increasing operational efficiency and driving supplier margin reductions. It is crucial to hire talent that can follow processes and demonstrate solid business acumen, but not expect advanced category management maturity at this point. This helps keep salary costs in check and aligns investment with achievable results.

The bulk of the initial investment should focus on setting up procurement for long-term success. Once the business has fully integrated its systems and data and completed some basic sourcing activities, it can begin to implement more sophisticated procurement strategies, such as outsourcing, offshoring, and category management.

Transitioning to Advanced Procurement Practices

Once the business has matured in its procurement practices, the transition to advanced category management should be gradual. This process involves developing the skills necessary for true category management, which requires legal, financial, sales, and negotiation expertise. At this stage, it may make sense to appoint Portfolio Managers to oversee category managers and facilitate the transition from sourcing to advanced category management.

The most successful procurement operations are those that adopt a methodical, phased approach, avoiding the boom-and-bust cycles that result in recurring transformations every 5 years. By investing in the right foundations, businesses can set up procurement for long-term value and success.

The Misconception of Category Management as Best Practice

Category management has garnered an elevated status as the target for “best practice” procurement—though it remains unclear what exactly constitutes best practice. While it is true that category management can deliver substantial benefits, not every business requires it, and in some cases, implementing a category management approach may even prove detrimental.

For category management to be effective, a company must possess a demand arc, where historical data informs future demand. This allows for constant adjustments to pricing, value, innovation, and risk elements. Industries such as manufacturing, retail, and pharmaceuticals are prime examples of sectors where category management thrives, particularly for spend portfolios that include packaging, ingredients, chemicals, and distribution. These are typically high-value components of COGS or critical OPEX that are directly tied to customer fulfillment or act as barriers to entry. As a result, such businesses can leverage more than just price in their spend portfolios, incorporating strategic positioning and revenue considerations.

When Category Management Is Not the Right Fit

However, for businesses focused on project-based work—such as construction, civil engineering, and mining—the category management model is often not applicable. In these industries, historical demand has little bearing on future projects, and the uniqueness of each project means that what transpired previously is of minimal relevance. Furthermore, many projects use diverse pricing models, which can completely eliminate the leverage of price, rendering category management less effective.

Additionally, spend portfolios that fall under OPEX often operate within price-driven parameters, where the primary objective is cost reduction. While a category management approach may sometimes be appropriate in these cases, it is not always the best fit, particularly if the company’s top-down management or policy does not align with the structure of category management. The process of implementing category management is typically a high-investment, high-cost initiative, which can yield a poor return on investment if it is misapplied.

The Risks of Misapplying Category Management

Calling a function “category management” when it isn’t truly category management only adds unnecessary costs. In such cases, a company may find itself hiring higher-level capabilities that are ultimately underutilized, leading to higher retention volatility as resources become disenchanted with the lack of sophistication in the function.

In many cases, it may be more effective to label the function as what it truly is—a tendering team—and avoid the high costs associated with category management salaries and technology implementations that are poorly leveraged. By doing so, businesses can still achieve some value through basic negotiation tactics without significantly impacting net margins on sales revenue.

Conclusion

In conclusion, while category management can be highly beneficial for certain industries, it is not a one-size-fits-all solution. It is important to assess the needs and structure of the business before implementing such a model. In many cases, simpler procurement strategies, such as tendering and basic negotiations, can provide sufficient value without the need for the high investments associated with category management. The key is to align procurement strategies with business objectives and avoid the trap of adopting “best practice” frameworks that may not be suitable for the company’s operations

December Insights

In our November report, SKILLSOOP forecasted rising natural gas prices due to capital constraints and investment shortfalls. This trend appears to be unfolding as expected. As winter intensifies in Europe and North America, increased demand is expected to push prices higher.

Oil prices are experiencing a mild decline, with support holding at $66 per barrel as indicated in November. Geopolitical tensions, particularly a potential direct conflict between Russia and the U.S. or between Iran and the U.S., could lead to significant price increases. In the interim, a weakening global economy, particularly in China, the U.S., and Japan, is suppressing oil prices. If this economic weakness persists, oil prices could dip to $50 per barrel. At the time of writing, Ukraine has launched long-range U.S. missiles into Russia, which places various regions of Europe at heightened risk.

Copper prices are expected to continue their downward trend, having already declined since their May peak. Weak stimulus from China and the strength of the U.S. dollar will continue to exert downward pressure on commodity prices. Additionally, former President Trump’s focus on tariffs may disrupt global trade and growth expectations.

As forecasted in SKILLSOOP’s November report, iron ore prices are on a steady decline. China’s stimulus efforts have proven insufficient, while advancements in recycling technologies are contributing to the downward pressure on iron ore. As Rio Tinto’s Simandou supply increases, we anticipate an eventual market surplus, which will push iron ore prices down to approximately $80.

Aluminium prices have surged due to the removal of tax rebates on Chinese exports. If this rebate is passed on to importers—as is possible, given the contraction in Chinese supply—aluminum prices may increase further. This rebate withdrawal could be part of a broader strategy to counteract potential U.S. tariffs.

In the agricultural sector, corn export inspections increased slightly week-over-week, reaching 32.3 million bushels, which is on the higher end of analyst estimates ranging from 25.6 million to 35.4 million bushels. Mexico remains the top destination for corn exports, receiving 15.6 million bushels. Cumulative totals for the 2024/25 marketing year are ahead of last year’s pace, with a total of 356.8 million bushels.

Wheat export inspections, however, were disappointing, reaching only 7.2 million bushels, which fell below analyst estimates of 11.0 to 15.6 million bushels. Mexico again was the largest destination, importing 2.3 million bushels. Nevertheless, cumulative totals for the 2024/25 marketing year remain moderately ahead of last year’s pace, totalling 379.4 million bushels. Ukraine’s agricultural ministry reported grain exports through November 18, including 306.8 million bushels of wheat and 238.2 million bushels of corn. Both figures exceed sales from the 2023/24 marketing year.

Cocoa prices continue to rise due to ongoing supply shortages, which are impacting profit forecasts for major manufacturers reliant on this commodity. Contributing factors include European deforestation regulations set to be enforced from December 30, 2024, as well as structural declines in the Ivory Coast and Ghana due to aging crops and viral insect infestations.

Gold has experienced a healthy pullback, with suppression driven by bullion bank manipulation in paper markets. A strong U.S. dollar will push global inflation higher, particularly in the context of geopolitical instability. As nations attempt to lower interest rates to stimulate their economies, inflation is expected to surge, causing gold prices to surpass $3,000 per ounce.

The U.S. dollar continues to rise, largely driven by investor confidence in the Trump administration’s economic policies. This trend has led to capital flowing from bonds into equities. However, a strong dollar hampers the U.S.’s ability to re-industrialize, which may prompt President Trump to weaken the dollar through stimulus, leading to further rejection of U.S. treasuries.

The silver deficit is projected to decrease by 4%, as production increases by 1% from Chile, Mexico, and the U.S., while recycling efforts grow by 5%. Overall, a 2% increase in silver supply is expected to offset a 1% growth in demand. Despite this, analysts continue to forecast a rapid decline in silver availability. The long-term outlook predicts silver prices could exceed $200 per ounce over the next decade.

U.S. 10-year Treasury yields are expected to rise as creditor nations seek to avoid U.S. risk, and investor confidence in the Federal Reserve’s ability to manage inflation and the government’s ability to control its budget wanes. We predict an initial flight to safety, which will temporarily lower yields, before rates gradually climb towards 6% over the longer cycle.

Example of IMPACT Resume

MICKY MOUSE
CAPABILITY RESUME

Qualifications: MBA, MCIPS
Mobile: 0444 444 555
Email: mmouse@gmail.com


Candidate Summary

A highly accomplished and tertiary-qualified (MBA) procurement professional with extensive experience in FMCG, Retail, and Mining sectors, managing procurement spends of up to $750M across portfolios including Packaging, MRO, Co-Pack, and HME. Proven expertise in leading high-performing teams of up to 20 FTEs, with a strong focus on category strategy development, supplier negotiation, and P2P implementation utilizing advanced technologies such as Coupa and ARIBA. Seeking a leadership role in the private sector to drive revenue growth, manage risk, and optimize ROCE across complex third-party matrices.


Career History

EmployerTitleTenure
QantasProcurement DirectorMar 2008 – Aug 2024
NestléPortfolio ManagerJan 2002 – Feb 2008
BHPProcurement AnalystSep 1998 – Dec 2001

Key Achievements

Achievement 1: Category Management (MRO)

  • Reduced escalating MRO costs, which had been increasing 3.7% YoY on a $100M category spend.
  • Designed and implemented a new in-house MRO strategy, creating a dedicated MRO P&L to service similar businesses.
  • Converted a cost center into a revenue-generating unit, achieving $1.5M in cost savings, $3M in additional revenue, and $500K in NPAT.

Achievement 2: Leadership & Change Management

  • Successfully led the implementation of a $12M e-procurement system, streamlining transactions, reducing headcount, and integrating supplier networks.
  • Secured team buy-in through proactive communication and early adoption strategies, facilitating a seamless transition.
  • Repositioned 25% of team members into alternate roles and engaged a career management firm to assist a further 30%.
  • Delivered a projected net benefit of $21M over five years.

Achievement 3: BPO Facilities Management

  • Spearheaded a capability sourcing initiative for waste management, cleaning, MRO, and labor services, addressing a $50M annual spend across 20 plants.
  • Engaged and awarded a single outsource provider, optimizing service delivery and achieving $15M in savings over three years.
  • Ensured long-term P&L benefits through strategic design-phase solutions and rigorous supplier contract management.

Achievement 4: Facilities Cost Optimization

  • Delivered substantial savings by redefining utility and facilities management services across 20 plants.
  • Reduced costs by $15M over three years by leveraging outsourcing and strategic supplier engagement.

Achievement 5: Digital Transformation in Procurement

  • Drove the adoption of an advanced e-procurement system, integrating procurement processes and reducing recurring costs.
  • Positioned the organization for long-term operational efficiency with a projected five-year net benefit of $21M.
  • Demonstrated exceptional change management capabilities by re-skilling and redeploying 55% of the workforce impacted by the transition.

Example of Progressive Resume

MICKY MOUSE
CHRONOLOGICAL RESUME

Qualifications: MBA, MCIPS
Mobile: 0444 444 555
Email: mmouse@gmail.com


Candidate Summary

A tertiary-qualified (MBA) procurement professional with extensive experience across FMCG, Retail, and Mining sectors, managing spends of up to $750M across portfolios including packaging, MRO, Co-Pack, and HME. Proficient in leading high-performing teams of up to 20 FTEs, with expertise in category strategy development, negotiation, supplier development, and P2P implementation utilizing platforms such as Coupa and ARIBA. Currently seeking a senior functional role in the private sector to drive revenue, manage risks, and enhance ROCE across a complex third-party matrix.


Career History

Qantas

Title: Procurement Director
Tenure: March 2008 – August 2024

Employer Profile:
Qantas is the world’s third-oldest airline and an iconic Australian brand. With a turnover exceeding $19 billion, Qantas transports over 45 million passengers annually to more than 32 countries.

Role Overview:
As Procurement Director, managed a $500M spend portfolio encompassing MRO, Marketing, Packaging, and Finished Goods. Led a team of 12 FTEs, including category managers and analysts, to optimize value delivery while mitigating internal and external risks.

Key Achievements:

  • Category Management (MRO):
    Designed and implemented a new MRO strategy to address rising costs, converting a $100M cost center into a revenue-generating operation. Realized $1.5M in cost savings and drove $3M in additional revenue with an NPAT of $500K.
  • Leadership & Change Management:
    Spearheaded the implementation of a $12M e-procurement system, reducing headcount and streamlining procurement processes. Achieved a projected net benefit of $21M over five years, successfully repositioning 25% of the team and supporting an additional 30% through career transition services.
  • BPO Facilities Management:
    Delivered $15M in savings over three years through a capability-sourcing initiative for waste, cleaning, MRO, and labor services across 20 plants. Achieved significant P&L benefits through solution design and robust supplier contract management.

Nestlé

Title: Portfolio Manager
Tenure: January 2002 – February 2008

Employer Profile:
Nestlé is a leading Swiss multinational in the FMCG sector, with a diverse product portfolio including coffee, confectionery, dairy, and pet foods. Generating over $105 billion USD in annual revenue, Nestlé is recognized as one of the world’s largest FMCG companies.

Role Overview:
As Portfolio Manager, managed a $150M spend portfolio covering MRO, Marketing, Packaging, and Finished Goods. Led a team of 6 FTEs to optimize business value and align procurement strategies with organizational goals.

Key Achievements:
Details available upon request.


Nestlé

Title: Procurement Analyst
Tenure: September 1998 – December 2001

Employer Profile:
Nestlé’s Australian operations contribute significantly to the company’s global success. Renowned for market leadership and innovative practices, the organization is integral to Nestlé’s reputation as a global FMCG powerhouse.

Role Overview:
Supported procurement performance across MRO, Marketing, Packaging, and Finished Goods. Contributed to organizational efficiency and effectiveness through data-driven insights and strategic analysis.

Key Achievements:
Details available upon request.

Special Report – Securing Your Next Procurement Role.

Sourcing Your Next Procurement Role

Navigating the job market can be a daunting experience, especially when you’re unhappy in your current role, unemployed, or seeking new challenges. The journey from deciding to make a change to securing a new role is fraught with obstacles. From drafting your resume to sourcing opportunities, engaging with recruiters (if fortunate enough), and attending interviews, each step presents unique challenges. Moreover, balancing this process with the demands of daily life—such as managing a household or parenting—only adds to the complexity.

Amidst ongoing global economic volatility, marked by persistent threats of war, inflation, fluctuating interest rates, and continued supply chain disruptions, many procurement professionals find themselves unemployed or at risk as companies restructure in response to cost pressures. As businesses face contracting revenues, they merge P&L statements to capitalize on economies of scale. In lean times, employees are often viewed as liabilities rather than assets in accounting terms, underscoring the importance of strategically positioning oneself in the job market.

Given that each organization faces unique challenges based on factors such as market, scale, maturity, supply chain, and liquidity, it is important to recognize that, despite the financial view of employees as liabilities, individuals can still be valuable assets under the right circumstances. The key lies in identifying when labor transitions from a liability to a vital asset. This understanding is central to a recruiter’s role in aligning knowledge, circumstances, and opportunities to deliver value.

Targeting the Right Role

Securing the right role is a pivotal step in your job search. If you misalign your target position, you may find yourself facing prolonged unemployment or stagnation in your current role. Before engaging with the job market, it is critical to define the type of role you are seeking. Are you looking for a promotion—from category manager to portfolio manager or vendor manager to category manager? Or are you exploring a shift in responsibilities, such as changing your area of spend from marketing to packaging? Perhaps you’re considering a complete career shift, such as moving from procurement to logistics or project management.

Many candidates seek leadership experience or more strategic positions. However, these aspirations may present a challenge if you lack the relevant experience for the role. While it is not to say that these goals are unachievable, it is important to acknowledge that your motivations might not align with the requirements outlined in a potential employer’s position description. The role’s expectations may not align with your current skill set, creating a risk for both you and the hiring organization.

If you are seeking a position where you lack direct experience, internal mobility is often the best route to progression. When considering external opportunities, it may be more effective to pitch yourself directly to the business, bypassing recruitment firms. Recruitment firms tend to focus on candidates who closely match the job description, as they are paid to reconcile the resume with the job brief.

This leads to an important question: If you are capable of handling a role with increased responsibility or a shift in focus, why hasn’t your current employer offered you such an opportunity? If the reasons involve a lack of available positions, inadequate skill sets, or compensation issues, seeking external opportunities makes sense. However, if your colleagues have been promoted or the company has recruited externally, it may indicate that you are not yet seen as ready by those who know you best. A self-assessment is crucial before pursuing roles that may be above your current level.

Understanding Your Skills

Procurement encompasses a broad range of skills, including legal, analytics, financial, sales, marketing, negotiation, process, systems, technology, and stakeholder management. Many businesses develop their own internal labels for these skills, which may not align with industry standards. This can result in resumes that lack consistency, blurring career progression or overcomplicating experience histories. These discrepancies can be further exacerbated when you verbally present your experience or when technology filters or recruiters reject the information.

For example, the role once known as “Vendor Management” has evolved into multiple variations, such as “Contract Management,” “Category Management,” “Supplier Management,” “Business Partner,” and “Commercial Manager.” This proliferation of terms can lead to confusion, both in drafting resumes and in reading job descriptions.

A term I’ve observed recently is “Procurement Enablement,” which appears to be a catch-all label for functions like Framework Development, Policy, Governance, and Systems. While it is an improvement over previous terminology, it still adds complexity when trying to ensure that your experience is communicated clearly.

To avoid such issues, I recommend working with a recruiter who can help you navigate these various labels and ensure that your skills and achievements are communicated effectively. Additionally, detailing your skills, outcomes, and solutions will help clarify your capabilities and reduce the risk of misunderstandings.

Leveraging Your Achievements for Impact

While not all interviews will require you to articulate every achievement, it’s crucial that you have them readily available—especially when preparing your resume. In recent years, interviews have often focused on culture rather than technical skills, driven by the rapid growth and expansion of non-core operations. However, with interest rates expected to stabilize at 6% over the next five years, which will increase capital structuring costs and reduce consumer cash flow, technical expertise will likely gain more prominence in hiring decisions.

When discussing your achievements, it is important to distinguish between what is expected as part of the role and what goes beyond the typical scope. For example, many candidates highlight stakeholder management or cost savings of 10% in a new category, but these may be considered baseline expectations rather than standout accomplishments.

An achievement, in the context of a job search, is not simply personal recognition; it is a result that delivers significant value beyond what is expected in the role. Strong narratives that provide context and highlight the problem, solution, and outcome structure are essential to making a lasting impact.

Summary

To achieve the best results in your job search, alignment is key. Your resume, the recruiter’s pitch, and your interview presentation should all reflect a coherent narrative. When these elements are synchronized, you maximize your chances of success. Often, alignment can outweigh having the perfect skills or experience, as expectations play a crucial role.

Consider the analogy of a McDonald’s meal. While it may not be a fine dining experience, it consistently meets expectations. Similarly, when your resume, recruiter’s pitch, and interview performance align, you provide a clear and consistent message, boosting your chances of success.

It’s essential to ensure that your resume accurately reflects your skills and capabilities in a market-friendly way, with the recruiter’s understanding of procurement and your abilities guiding the process. The key is to ensure you are neither over-sold, under-sold, nor left unnoticed in the competitive market.